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Trump warns Canada backing Palestinian statehood could jeopardize trade deal


President Donald Trump issued a stark warning Thursday that Canada’s decision to support Palestinian statehood recognition could complicate trade negotiations between the two countries, just one day before his self-imposed August 1 tariff deadline.

“Wow! Canada has just announced that it is backing statehood for Palestine. That will make it very hard for us to make a Trade Deal with them. Oh’ Canada!!!” Trump posted on Truth Social early Thursday morning.

The comment marks a sharp escalation in rhetoric just as trade talks between the U.S. and Canada appear to be stalling. Trump has previously threatened a 35% tariff on Canadian imports, though details have remained vague. Currently, most Canadian goods entering the U.S. are subject to a 25% tariff, with key exemptions under the U.S.-Mexico-Canada Agreement (USMCA), the trade pact negotiated during Trump’s first term.

Trump’s Thursday remarks tie Canada’s diplomatic decision on the Israel-Palestinian conflict directly to economic consequences, a linkage that is likely to further strain U.S.-Canada relations. Canada is one of the United States’ largest trading partners, with bilateral trade exceeding $700 billion annually. Any major disruption — especially increased tariffs — could have a cascading effect on both economies.

Canadian Prime Minister Mark Carney announced Wednesday that Canada intends to formally recognize Palestinian statehood at the United Nations General Assembly in September. The decision is conditional: recognition would be withheld unless the Palestinian Authority holds elections free from Hamas interference and agrees to a demilitarization plan. Given ongoing violence in Gaza and the fractured state of Palestinian governance, those benchmarks may not be met anytime soon.

Nevertheless, the announcement puts Canada in line with several other U.S. allies who have recently taken symbolic steps toward Palestinian recognition. French President Emmanuel Macron last week expressed similar intentions, and the United Kingdom is reportedly preparing to follow suit.

The moves come amid growing international concern over the humanitarian crisis in Gaza, where food shortages, displacement, and the collapse of infrastructure have triggered global protests and calls for intervention.

President Trump, in recent days, has both acknowledged the humanitarian situation and blamed Hamas for worsening conditions. He has said a cease-fire and hostage release would be the fastest way to resolve the crisis. The U.S. pulled out of cease-fire negotiations last week, accusing Hamas of bad-faith bargaining.

Meanwhile, U.S. envoy Steve Witkoff met with Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu in Jerusalem Thursday, as the administration navigates increasing pressure from both allies and critics. Trump has maintained a close relationship with Netanyahu throughout his political career, and despite recent comments on the crisis, his administration denies any daylight between the two leaders. U.S. Ambassador to Israel Mike Huckabee dismissed claims of a policy split earlier this week.

While President Trump has struck recent trade deals with the European Union and South Korea — all featuring major foreign investment components but few tariff rollbacks — Canada now appears to be on a different trajectory. Unlike those allies, Canada’s foreign policy stance on the Middle East may cost it a seat at the table.

With the August 1 tariff deadline just hours away and no trade deal yet reached, markets are watching closely. Canadian industries — especially auto manufacturing and agriculture — are highly vulnerable to tariff increases, which could trigger job losses and inflation in Canada and higher prices for U.S. consumers.

The fallout from Canada’s decision underscores how global diplomacy, trade, and security remain tightly interwoven — especially in an election year when foreign policy choices can quickly ripple through economic negotiations. Whether Canada reconsiders its position, or President Trump follows through with new tariffs, could shape North American relations for years to come.