Hispanics helped Trump win in Florida, Texas, analysis of election data shows


By Bethany Blankley

The Republican Party has become a more multiethnic, multiracial, and working-class party, politicians said after viewing election data and precinct-level exit polls.

More Hispanics voted for President Donald Trump on Election Day, helping him secure wins in Texas and Florida, the second and third-largest states by population, respectively.

Sen. Josh Hawley, R-Missouri, tweeted, “we are a working class party now. That’s the future.”

Sen. Marco Rubio, R-Florida, also tweeted that the future of the Republican Party is “a party built on a multi-ethnic multi-racial coalition of working AMERICANS.”

According to an Edison Research national exit poll, Trump’s support in 2020 increased among Asians, Blacks and Hispanics by 4 percent each.

Roughly 26 percent of Trump’s voting share came from nonwhite voters – the highest percentage for a Republican presidential candidate since 1960.

Among non-whites without a college degree, Trump’s support rose by 7 percent. The white working class strongly favored Trump by double digit increases in California (+16), Maine (+11), Michigan (+20), Minnesota (+15), Nevada (+22), New Hampshire (+10), Pennsylvania (+27) and Wisconsin (+16).

The Florida exit poll showed Hispanic support for Trump grew from 35 percent in 2016 to 47 percent in 2020.

Precinct-level analysis shows gains in Florida were concentrated in Hialeah and Miami’s west side, where Americans live who are predominantly of Cuban, Central American, and South American descent.

Roughly half of Trump’s 2020 margin of victory in Florida came from the increased voter turnout among Hispanics in Miami-Dade County alone.

Trump’s support from Texas Hispanics increased from 34 percent to 40 percent.

A record 20 counties with large Hispanic populations shifted in their increased number of votes for Trump.

In Starr County, the most Hispanic in the country, with 99 percent of the population identifying as Hispanic, support for Trump increased by more than 28 percent.

Twenty Texas counties recorded swings toward Trump of 10 points or more. They are all majority Hispanic; 17 of them are more than three-quarters Hispanic.

In 2016, Trump won only two of these 20 counties. In 2020, he won nine.

Seven of these 20 Trump-shifted Hispanic counties are located along the Texas-Mexico border; 12 are located roughly 100 miles from the border.

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