Skip to main content

Super Tuesday looms large in 2020 presidential race


With the conclusion of the South Carolina’s primary and Biden’s win by nearly 30 percent, the eyes of the nation now turn toward Super Tuesday where 15 jurisdictions will be holding their primaries.

Considering both Texas and California are holding their primaries on March 3, about 40 percent of all Americans will have a primary on Tuesday, according to Ballotpedia. The 1,344 delegates up for grabs will account for 34 percent of all delegates up for grabs.

“If a candidate wins in a lot of those states or all of them, even if they don’t get 50 percent of the votes, if they get a lions share of the delegates that are up for grabs on that day, often times, that can determine who will be the nominee, and there may be no way for a candidate to catch up,” Daniel Epstein, director of online and regional site education for the Texas Tech Department of Political Science, said.

The Republican primaries have been relatively calm with Donald Trump pulling in 86 delegates and Bill Weld pulling in only one delegate, according to the Associated Press. But this is not out of the ordinary, as most incumbent presidents are almost always nominated again.

Super Tuesday could make the difference for other Republican candidates.

With Bernie Sanders coming away with two wins in primaries so far, former candidate Pete Buttigieg coming forward with one and Joe Biden coming forward with the most recent victory in South Carolina, the results this Tuesday are sure to be mixed, according to the New York Times.

“We still have an electorate that is undecided and not sure who they really prefer,” Seth McKee, associate professor in political science at Tech, said. “I think it will probably just generate additional confusion. A lot of Democrats are trying to figure who would be a good alternative to Bernie but they can’t, there hasn’t been enough time.”

Super Tuesday could be a candidate’s opportunity to start a new narrative that may help carry them to the nomination.

Each candidate has advantages in states either where they are from or where their messages may resonate the most, according to FiveThirtyEight. For example, data shows while Amy Klobuchar may not have the strongest lead anywhere else, in her home state of Minnesota, she has the lead by nearly 7 percent over Sanders.

While home states may be a valuable resource for candidates just trying to stay in the race, it is unlikely that they will make a difference in the final result, according to The Washington Post. The main battleground states will be ones with large delegate counts such as California and Texas.

Currently in California, according to FiveThirtyEight, Sanders is polling at 31 percent while Biden in second place is polling at 19 percent. California is a very liberal state though often choosing to go with one of the farthest left candidates.

Another hotly contested state is Texas, but unlike California it is right on a knife-edge and could go either way, according to FiveThirtyEight.  As of Today, the polls show that both Biden and Sanders have approximately 45 percent of the vote. Claiming a victory in Texas could be a huge factor in establishing a narrative for both the Biden campaign and the Sanders campaign even if it just by a small margin.

Regardless of the results, some voters may still not have made up their minds about who they will vote for in the primary election Tuesday.

Doing so is common according to the Secretary of States website, which hosts the numbers in early voting.  While more than a million Democrats have already voted thanks to early voting it only is about 6 percent of registered voters in Texas.

Comments

Popular posts from this blog

First confirmed case of COVID-19 in Canyon

The Amarillo Area Public Health has confirmed 1 case of coronavirus (COVID-19) in Canyon.

"Due to sensitive information we are not able to share details regarding this case," the city said in a statement.

On Monday, Canyon Mayor Gary Hinders hosted a Facebook Live giving details of Canyon’s response to COVID-19 Status Level Red, which is aligned with the City of Amarillo and new Amarillo Public Health guidance.

Effective immediately, Amarillo Public Health has updated its coronavirus (COVID-19) Level to RED. This is the highest alert level, indicating there are widespread confirmed cases of COVID-19 in Amarillo and the surrounding area.

Hinders issued stay at home guidelines, that went into effect tonight, (March 30) at 11:59 pm and will be in place at least through Monday, April 13, 2020.

"We ask that residents stay at home except for outings essential to their own health, safety, and welfare and that of their family members," the city said.

Under these guideline…

Grocery stores impacted by COVID-19 outbreak

With the continued spread of COVID-19, many grocery stores throughout the area have been facing changes in operations as well as economic impacts.

Nancy Sharp, manager of communications and community engagement for the United “family,” which includes all Llano Logistics, RC Taylor, United Express, Amigos, Market Street and United Supermarkets, said COVID-19 has many people doing some fear-driven, panic-type buying, causing a significant increase in traffic in stores and people purchasing items.

The closure of dining establishments has also impacted sales as more people are cooking at home, which Sharp said has provided an increase to grocery stores across the country. The increase in traffic has also increased the amount of people who are working in the stores and the need for additional cleaning.

“We are cleaning multiple times a day, multiple surfaces. And so that has definitely increased the number,” Sharp said. “We're restocking several times a day; that also has increased th…

White House projects between 100,000 and 240,000 American deaths from coronavirus

President Trump's top health advisers said Tuesday that models show between 100,000 and 240,000 Americans could die from the novel coronavirus even if the country keeps stringent social distancing guidelines in place.

Without any measures to mitigate the disease's spread, those projections jump to between 1.5 and 2.2 million deaths from COVID-19.

The models, which were displayed at a White House press briefing Tuesday, underpinned Trump's decision to extend social distancing guidelines to the end of April.

Dr. Deborah Birx, the White House coronavirus task force coordinator, explained the data, urging the public to steel for difficult weeks ahead while expressing hope that the efforts would reduce the spread of the coronavirus. 

“There’s no magic bullet, there’s no magic vaccine or therapy. It’s just behaviors,” Birx said, adding that it would be those behaviors that could change “the course of the viral pandemic.”

Second COVID-19 case confirmed in Canyon

The Amarillo Area Public Health has confirmed a second positive case of coronavirus (COVID-19) in Canyon. Due to sensitive information the City of Canyon is not provided details on any cases.

Last week, Mayor Gary Hinders hosted a Facebook Live giving details of Canyon’s response to COVID-19 Status Level Red, which is aligned with the City of Amarillo and new Amarillo Public Health guidance.

Effective immediately, Amarillo Public Health has updated its coronavirus (COVID-19) Level to RED. This is the highest alert level, indicating there are widespread confirmed cases of COVID-19 in Amarillo and the surrounding area.

Hinders issued stay at home guidelines, that went into effect March 30 at 11:59 pm and will be in place at least through Monday, April 13, 2020.

"We ask that residents stay at home except for outings essential to their own health, safety, and welfare and that of their family members," the city said.

Under these guidelines, all businesses, except those essenti…

First COVID-19 death in Lubbock: City confirms 10 additional cases

The City of Lubbock confirmed its first COVID-19 related death in a news release on Saturday. The individual was a male in his 60s who had underlying health conditions and was a resident of Lubbock, according to the release.

As of 5 p.m. on Saturday, the City of Lubbock has confirmed 10 additional cases of COVID-19, bringing the total number of cases in Lubbock County to 41, according to the release.

The Texas Department of State Health Services has reported additional cases of COVID-19 in the surrounding areas to Lubbock County, including seven in Hockley County, one in Terry County, one in Gaines County, one in Hale County and one in Yoakum County, according to the release.

The City of Lubbock Health Department will continue monitoring individuals to reduce the risk of the transmission of COVID-19, according to the release.